Bournemouth v Southampton

Graziano Pelle

Southampton won the reverse fixture 2-0, with Graziano Pelle one of their goalscorers


Bournemouth’s Junior Stanislas faces a spell on the sidelines after suffering a hamstring injury at Watford.

Max Gradel may not be risked from the start despite replacing Stanislas in that game on his return from a lengthy lay-off, while Lewis Grabban is a doubt with a groin strain.

Southampton striker Shane Long is nursing a hamstring injury and is rated 50/50 to play by manager Ronald Koeman.

Victor Wanyama is serving the third game of a five-match suspension.


Tony Husband: “While this is considered the ‘other’ south coast derby, I’m still expecting the atmosphere at the Vitality to be electric. How Bournemouth would relish a first home win in a league contest over Southampton for 58 years.

“However, Eddie Howe’s men will need to find another gear in front of their own fans after losing their last three at home in all competitions.

“Southampton’s New Year surge was halted by Chelsea, but the top six and European football is a very realistic target for a team which I fancy for a strong finish and has a fine defensive record on the road.”

Twitter: @TonyHusbandBBC


Bournemouth manager Eddie Howe: “We are in a key moment in our season. When you play the big sides you still have to attack those games and try to win them.

“But to achieve our goals at the end of the season, then I think this little spell that we’re in could be defining.”

Southampton manager Ronald Koeman on Howe: “He’s doing a fantastic job. If they stay in the Premier League that will be a great effort for them and for the manager.

“They try to play football, be creative and play offensively, and that’s what I like.

“I hope they can stay in the Premier League and I think they can – it will be nice to continue with derbies against them.”


I fancy Bournemouth to edge it. The Cherries got a good draw at Watford on Saturday and, although they did not score in that game, they always test the opposition goalkeeper.

Prediction: 2-1

Lawro’s full predictions v The Coral frontman James Skelly

  • Think you can do better than Lawro? Predict the score for this match and the rest of this round’s Premier League fixtures in our Predictor game.



  • Southampton have won each of the past five league encounters, including a 2-0 victory at St Mary’s in November’s reverse fixture.
  • All four of Bournemouth’s wins in their 17 previous league meetings have been at home (D3, L10).
  • Bournemouth’s last league victory over Saints was in 1958 in the old Third Division.


  • Bournemouth have lost their last three home games in all competitions, conceding seven goals in the process.
  • They have won just two of their past 10 Premier League home matches (D3, L5).
  • The Cherries have scored just eight goals in their past 10 league matches and failed to score in half of them.
  • Bournemouth have scored a league-high eight goals inside the opening 15 minutes.
  • Only Everton have conceded more often at home than Bournemouth, who have let in 21 goals at the Vitality Stadium.


  • Defeat at home to Chelsea at the weekend ended Southampton’s six-match unbeaten run (W5, D1).
  • The Saints have conceded just 11 goals on their travels, a joint-league high along with Tottenham and Manchester City.
  • They have also kept six away clean sheets, only Manchester City have kept more with seven.
  • Southampton have recorded clean sheets in nine of their 11 Premier League victories.
  • Shane Long has scored in his past two league appearances – he has never scored in three consecutive appearances.

SAM (Sports Analytics Machine) is a super-computer created by Professor Ian McHale at the University of Salford that is used to predict the outcome of football matches.

Add a Comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *